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Bitcoin at $67,334, down 1% daily, with PlanB forecasting a final dip then a bull run to a $500,000 average by 2028 – see the numbers behind the claim.
Bitcoin slipped 1% to $67,334 in the last 24 hours, marking what PlanB, the Stock‑to‑Flow model creator, describes as the “final dip” before a projected bull market that could push the average price to $500,000 through the 2024‑2028 halving cycle [2]. The analyst ties the move to historic drawdowns of 70‑85% that have preceded previous Bitcoin rallies, and to the upcoming 2024 halving that will tighten supply [1].
| At a glance | |
|---|---|
| Price | $67,334 |
| 24‑h change | –1% |
| Weekly change | +0.6% |
| Catalyst | PlanB’s final‑dip forecast and 2024 halving supply shock |
PlanB’s model points to three prior cycles where Bitcoin fell 70‑85% from its all‑time high before rebounding: 2012‑13 (from $12 to $1,100), 2016‑17 (from $650 to $20,000) and 2020‑21 (from under $10,000 to $69,000) [1]. Each cycle lasted roughly four years, aligning with the network’s halving events that cut new issuance in half. The next halving, scheduled for 2024, will again raise the stock‑to‑flow ratio, a supply‑side driver that PlanB believes will underpin a new upward trajectory [1][2].
On‑chain metrics such as exchange balances, hash rate and active addresses are cited as supporting the “final dip” narrative, though the source does not quantify these figures [1]. Technically, Bitcoin’s price sits just below the $70,000 resistance that held earlier in March, while the 200‑week moving average remains a key reference point in PlanB’s analysis [2]. The analyst’s broader forecast spans $250,000 to $1 million for the 2024‑2028 period, with $500,000 positioned as the midpoint average [2].
If PlanB’s historical‑cycle logic holds, the current dip could be the last major correction before a multi‑year rally that reshapes Bitcoin’s market cap. However, the forecast hinges on the halving’s impact and on‑chain dynamics, leaving room for uncertainty about timing and magnitude.
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AI-assisted synthesis by the TrendWatcher Editorial Desk · sourced from 2 outlets · Jul 8, 2026 · How we report
It is a mathematical ratio calculated by dividing the total existing supply of an asset (stock) by the amount of new supply produced annually (flow).
Halving events reduce the block reward for miners by 50%, which lowers the annual flow of new Bitcoin and increases the S2F ratio, theoretically signaling higher scarcity.
While it was influential in earlier cycles, its predictive accuracy has weakened as Bitcoin's price has frequently deviated from the model's projections, leading many to use it as a historical reference instead.
The model is applied because Bitcoin has a limited, code-defined supply schedule, making it comparable to scarce physical commodities like gold.