Ripple XRP price steadies near $1 as whale transfers plunge

XRP is trading at roughly $1.07, barely above the $1 psychological line, after a sharp fall in million‑dollar whale transfers and mixed on‑chain signals that keep the token’s short‑term outlook uncertain.

Whale activity and price pressure

Large‑holder activity on the XRP Ledger collapsed this week, with transactions over $1 million falling from 70 in the prior week to just 2 today, a drop that analysts link to waning confidence among big investors【2】. The same period saw spot‑ETF outflows of $7.18 million, the weakest weekly outflow in four months, hinting at cooling institutional appetite. Despite the subdued spot demand, futures open interest nudged higher to $2.30 billion, indicating continued speculative interest in derivatives【2】.

Price action reflects this tug‑of‑war: XRP dipped to an intraday low near $1.06 before rebounding to a range of $1.07‑$1.10, keeping the $1 mark as a decisive support threshold【2】. On‑chain metrics reinforce the bearish tilt—its 30‑day moving average for whale flow turned negative for the first time in nearly four months, a signal traditionally read as emerging selling pressure【2】.

Broader market context and technical signals

The token’s broader trajectory remains grim: after peaking at $3.65 in July 2025, XRP has shed more than 60% of that value and now sits at $1.38, a level well below its recent double‑top at $1.51 that failed to hold, prompting a sharp pullback each time【1】. Hidden bearish RSI divergence and a 41% drop in long‑holder buying further underscore the lack of sustainable upside【1】.

Nevertheless, trading volume surged nearly 16% to $1.40 billion in the last 24 hours, suggesting heightened activity even as price stays choppy【2】. Open interest in futures rose modestly by 0.44%, showing that traders remain engaged despite softer spot demand【2】.

Key technical zones remain clear: $0.90 is identified as immediate support if the pullback deepens, while $1.18‑$1.20 serves as resistance that must be breached for a meaningful bullish shift【2】. Deeper support levels sit at $0.80, $0.62, and $0.51, according to on‑chain price distribution models【2】.

What to watch

• $1.00 support – a break below could trigger a slide toward $0.90 and lower support zones.
• $1.18‑$1.20 resistance – a sustained close above this range would signal a potential breakout.
• Whale transfer activity – a resurgence in $1 M+ transactions would indicate renewed large‑investor confidence.

XRP’s price now hinges on whether whale activity revives and the token can sustain a breach of the $1.18‑$1.20 resistance band, or whether continued outflows keep it trapped near the $1 threshold. The answer will shape the next leg of its post‑drawdown journey.