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Elon Musk and Sam Altman spar on X following Apple’s trade secret theft lawsuit against OpenAI, as market confidence in an OpenAI IPO drops to 21%.
Elon Musk and Sam Altman engaged in a public dispute on X following a July 10 lawsuit from Apple accusing OpenAI of stealing hardware trade secrets to develop its first consumer device [1]. The confrontation has intensified concerns regarding OpenAI’s operational stability, with market data showing the probability of the company completing an IPO by December 31, 2026, has fallen to 21% [1].
| At a glance | |
|---|---|
| OpenAI IPO Probability (by Dec 2026) | 21% [1] |
| SpaceX IPO Price | $135 per share [2] |
| SpaceX Retail Allocation | ~20% [2] |
| OpenAI IPO Valuation Target | >$1 Trillion [2] |
The public exchange began after Apple filed its complaint, prompting Musk to repeatedly label Altman a "scammer" on X [3]. Musk, who co-founded OpenAI in 2015 before leaving the board in 2018, has previously attempted to force the company back to a nonprofit status through a lawsuit that was dismissed by a federal jury in May [2]. Altman countered Musk’s recent accusations by criticizing SpaceX’s business model, specifically targeting Musk’s plans for orbital data centers intended to address AI energy demands [2].
The conflict coincides with a critical period for both companies. OpenAI confirmed in June that it had filed confidential draft paperwork for an IPO, though finance executives have suggested the timeline could slip into late 2026 or 2027 [2]. Meanwhile, SpaceX completed the largest IPO in history on June 12, pricing at $135 per share and achieving a valuation of roughly $2 trillion on its first full day of trading [2]. Unlike typical major listings that allocate 5% to 10% to retail investors, SpaceX distributed approximately 20% of its shares to individual investors globally [2].
The tension between the two leaders is underscored by the simultaneous release of new AI models. OpenAI recently unveiled GPT-5.6 Sol, while SpaceX’s xAI unit shipped Grok 4.5 [3]. Musk has actively pushed for the adoption of Grok within his own companies, instructing Tesla staff to test the model for internal tasks, though he later clarified that employees should continue using other models if they outperform his own [3].
Market analysts remain divided on the valuation of these entities. While OpenAI targets a valuation exceeding $1 trillion, investment researchers at CFRA have issued a "sell" rating on SpaceX, citing an ambitious growth strategy and elevated pricing, while Morningstar has valued the shares at a fraction of their debut price [2]. OpenAI has denied the allegations in Apple’s lawsuit, stating it has "no interest in other companies’ trade secrets" [3].
The dispute highlights the high-stakes battle for dominance in the AI sector, where the ability to maintain investor confidence is as critical as the performance of the underlying technology. Whether the ongoing legal and personal friction will force a delay in OpenAI’s public market debut remains the primary question for investors.
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AI-assisted synthesis by the TrendWatcher Editorial Desk · sourced from 3 outlets · Jul 13, 2026 · How we report
Apple claims OpenAI hired former employees who kept a company laptop, accessed internal systems via a security bug, downloaded confidential files, and used a supplier to replicate Apple’s metal-finishing process.
OpenAI stated it has "no interest" in other companies' trade secrets and remains focused on building innovative technology.
California courts have largely rejected the inevitable disclosure doctrine and do not enforce non-compete agreements, limiting legal recourse to trade secret law.
Commentators suggest the lawsuit adds uncertainty and may influence the timing of OpenAI’s expected IPO.
The case underscores risks to company secrets through supply-chain channels and the need for robust confidentiality frameworks.