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Dow Jones futures fell 0.3% as AI hardware leaders like Vertiv and Bloom Energy decline. See how market sentiment is shifting amid geopolitical uncertainty.
Dow Jones futures fell 0.3% early Tuesday, signaling a cautious start following a volatile Monday session where the index managed a 0.3% gain only after President Donald Trump announced a delay to a planned military strike on Iran [1]. While the Dow finished in positive territory, the broader market remained mixed, with the S&P 500 slipping slightly and the Nasdaq composite declining 0.5% [1].
The market’s recent rally faced significant pressure as investors rotated out of high-flying AI hardware stocks and into software names [1]. Hardware companies that had previously led the market's gains saw sharp pullbacks: Lumentum plunged 8.8%, Vertiv dropped 8.4%, Bloom Energy fell 6.25%, and Sandisk retreated 5.3% [1]. Applied Optoelectronics saw the steepest decline, diving 9% and bringing its total drop to 26.4% from an all-time high set just last Thursday [1].
In contrast, software stocks showed signs of a recovery. CrowdStrike rose 4.2% as it extended a recent breakout, while ServiceNow surged 8.8% to close above its 50-day moving average for the first time since late October [1]. This rotation highlights a shifting appetite for risk as investors weigh the sustainability of the AI hardware boom against the potential for further volatility [1].
Geopolitical tensions continue to cast a shadow over trading. Although crude oil prices pared gains to roughly $106 a barrel following the news of the postponed Iran attack, they had previously jumped 3.1% during the session [1]. Treasury yields also reflected the underlying uncertainty, with the 10-year yield climbing to a 51-week high of 4.62% before paring gains in the final hour of trading [1].
Market participants are now looking toward Wednesday night, when Nvidia is scheduled to report earnings [1]. This event serves as a critical test for the AI sector, with the potential to either reignite momentum for hardware leaders or trigger a broader wave of selling [1]. Whether the current rotation into software is a temporary hedge or a more permanent shift in market leadership remains the central question for investors navigating the current power trend [1].
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AI-assisted synthesis by the TrendWatcher Editorial Desk · sourced from 2 outlets · Jun 15, 2026 · How we report
The S&P 500 has returned a median of 17% and the Nasdaq Composite has returned a median of 40% in the 12 months following their respective first closes in bear market territory since 1985.
The Stock Market is experiencing downward pressure due to rising oil prices, 10-year Treasury yields topping 5%, and uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision.
Since 1985, corrections in the S&P 500 have occurred approximately once every two years, while corrections in the Nasdaq Composite have occurred about once every 18 months.