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Coinbase vice chair Ryan VanGrack says the Clarity Act is 40.5% likely to pass by 2026, urging both supporters and skeptics to back crypto regulation.
Ryan VanGrack told Fox Business that the Clarity Act is “on the one‑yard line,” with market odds now at a 40.5% chance of becoming law by the end of 2026, signalling growing confidence that a federal crypto framework is imminent【1】.
| At a glance | |
|---|---|
| Legislative odds | 40.5% chance of passage by end‑2026 |
| Senate status | Advanced by Senate Banking Committee, 15‑9 vote |
| House action | Passed version last year |
| Catalyst | VanGrack’s public endorsement on Fox Business |
The Clarity Act, designed to split oversight of digital assets between the SEC and CFTC, cleared the House last year and was pushed forward by the Senate Banking Committee with a 15‑9 vote this spring, including two Democrats crossing party lines【2】. VanGrack, a former SEC official, framed the legislation as “overdue” rather than a giveaway, emphasizing that it would impose the first comprehensive federal rules on the crypto industry【2】. Market pricing reflects this progress, with prediction‑market odds rising to 40.5% for a 2026 enactment, up from earlier, less‑certain estimates【1】.
VanGrack highlighted recent “bank and institutional deals” as evidence that traditional finance is converging with crypto, citing partnerships such as JPMorgan’s collaboration with Coinbase and the bank’s acceptance of bitcoin as loan collateral【2】. He argued that regulation would benefit investors, innovators, and standards alike, and that the bill already includes consumer‑protection enhancements like an illicit‑finance framework and safeguards against insider trading【2】. While the legislation does not alter the fundamental classification of crypto as a commodity or security, it would cement the existing registration, examination, and surveillance structures from the House version【2】.
The Clarity Act’s trajectory suggests that regulatory certainty may soon replace the current legal gray zone, but the final Senate vote and any last‑minute amendments will determine whether the framework materializes before the 2026 deadline.
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AI-assisted synthesis by the TrendWatcher Editorial Desk · sourced from 3 outlets · Jul 22, 2026 · How we report
The new office is 10,000 square feet and is located at One Raffles Quay in Singapore.
Coinbase aims to have about 200 employees in Singapore by the end of 2026, up from around 150 currently.
The stock rise is attributed to a more favorable U.S. regulatory outlook and higher Bitcoin prices, according to market commentary.
Coinbase received a full major payment institution licence under Singapore’s Payment Services Act in October 2023.
Analysts caution that Coinbase must prove that improved market sentiment can translate into sustained revenue growth rather than just short‑term stock rallies.