# Bitcoin Stock to Flow Model

**Published:** 2026-07-28T06:55:53.028Z  
**Topic:** Stock To Flow  
**Sentiment:** neutral  
**Publisher:** TrendWatcher — https://www.trendwatcher.in/article/da0cb817-8ebb-4f73-a9c0-877470da16e0

Bitcoin's price predicted to reach $100,000 by PlanB's Stock to Flow model, currently trading at $43,000, a 58% deviation from forecasted price, sparking

Bitcoin's Stock to Flow (S2F) model, a quantitative framework aiming to predict the price of Bitcoin, has shown a significant deviation from its forecasted price, with the current price of $43,000 being 58% lower than the predicted $100,000 [1]. This discrepancy has raised questions about the model's accuracy and its ability to predict Bitcoin's price.

| At a glance | |
|---|---|
| Price | $43,000 |
| 24h % move | -2.1% |
| Key level | $100,000 (forecasted price) |
| Catalyst | PlanB's Stock to Flow model |

## What is the Stock to Flow Model
The Stock to Flow model, popularized by PlanB, a Dutch investor, is based on the concept of scarcity, measuring the ratio between existing supply (stock) and new issuance (flow) [1]. The model treats Bitcoin as a scarce commodity, similar to gold and silver, and predicts its price based on its supply schedule. According to the model, the price of Bitcoin is expected to increase as the supply of new coins decreases.

The model has been relatively accurate in predicting Bitcoin's price in the past, with the price following the stock-to-flow line on the chart [2]. However, the recent deviation from the forecasted price has sparked debate about the model's accuracy. PlanB's model predicts that Bitcoin's price could reach $450,000 by the end of the year, with a worst-case scenario of $135,000 [1]. However, a poll conducted by PlanB in June 2022 showed that 41% of respondents believed the price of Bitcoin would remain under $100,000 that year [1].

## What to watch
* The next Bitcoin halving event, which is expected to occur in 2024, and its impact on the price of Bitcoin
* The stock-to-flow deflection ratio, which indicates whether the asset is overvalued or undervalued
* The market capitalization of Bitcoin, currently standing at $842 billion, and its potential impact on the price of Bitcoin

The significant deviation from the forecasted price has raised questions about the accuracy of the Stock to Flow model and its ability to predict Bitcoin's price. As the cryptocurrency market continues to evolve, it is essential to monitor the model's performance and adjust expectations accordingly. The real significance of the Stock to Flow model lies in its ability to provide a framework for understanding the relationship between Bitcoin's scarcity and its price, and its potential to inform investment decisions.

## Sources
1. Benzinga — [Bitcoin Stock to Flow Model • Does it Work? • Benzinga Crypto](https://www.benzinga.com/money/bitcoin-stock-to-flow-model)
2. Bitcoinmagazinepro — [Stock-to-Flow Model | BM Pro](https://www.bitcoinmagazinepro.com/charts/stock-to-flow-model/)

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Cite as: TrendWatcher, "Bitcoin Stock to Flow Model", https://www.trendwatcher.in/article/da0cb817-8ebb-4f73-a9c0-877470da16e0