# XRP slides to $1.15 as monthly RSI hits historic low

**Published:** 2026-07-04T17:04:06.046Z  
**Topic:** Xrp%5C  
**Sentiment:** neutral  
**Publisher:** TrendWatcher — https://www.trendwatcher.in/article/7dad8ff8-4e6f-4ce9-abb3-588593adf7b9

XRP trades near $1.15, down ~40% YTD, with monthly RSI at 41.6 – a rare signal that previously preceded big rallies. See why analysts watch this level.

XRP fell to about $1.15, a 40% drop from the start of the year, and its monthly RSI slipped to 41.6 – the lowest reading in the token’s 13‑year history, a zone it has entered only four times [2].

| At a glance | |
|---|---|
| Price | ~$1.15 |
| 24‑hour change | +5.12% |
| 1‑week change | +40% (YTD) |
| Catalyst | Monthly RSI falling to 41.6, historic low |

## The RSI signal and its track record  

The monthly RSI, a momentum gauge that smooths price over a month, dropped to 41.6, a level lower than any previous reading for XRP [2]. Historically the token has only entered this zone in early 2017, March 2020, June 2022 and now 2026. Each time it marked a cycle bottom: after trading under a penny in 2017, XRP surged to a record $3.84 in early 2018; after $0.11 in March 2020 it rallied 1,600% to $1.96 by April 2021; and after $0.29 in June 2022 it topped $3 in January 2025 [2]. Those past moves were driven by massive percentage gains from much lower price bases.

## How the market context has changed  

Today's rally potential is constrained by a higher starting point. A 40% gain from $1.15 would still leave XRP far below the multi‑hundred‑dollar levels that would be implied by the earlier percentage spikes [2]. Moreover, the monthly RSI reading of 41.6 is lower than the March 2020 low, making this an uncharted territory rather than a repeat of a known pattern [2]. The June monthly candle has not closed, so a bounce above $1.30 could raise the final RSI figure and erase the record low.

XRP’s fundamentals have also evolved. The token now benefits from spot ETFs, a March ruling that classified it as a digital commodity, and the pending CLARITY Act in the U.S. Senate [2]. These developments provide a stronger support framework than the penny‑level environments of 2017 and 2020, potentially cushioning any future price recovery even if upside percentages are modest.

## What to watch  

- **Price thresholds:** $1.30 (potential RSI revision) and $1.50 (near‑term resistance).  
- **Regulatory milestones:** Passage of the CLARITY Act and any SEC or CFTC rulings affecting XRP’s commodity status.  
- **On‑chain activity:** Large‑wallet (whale) inflows or outflows that could shift sentiment around the $1.15 level.

XRP’s slide to $1.15 and the unprecedented monthly RSI dip revive a pattern that once preceded strong rallies, but the higher base price and altered regulatory landscape make the next move uncertain. Whether the token can replicate past cycle‑bottom rebounds—or chart a new path—will hinge on market sentiment, regulatory outcomes, and on‑chain dynamics.

## Sources
1. BeInCrypto — [XRP Price Prediction for July 2026: Can Buyers Finally Break the Downtrend?](https://beincrypto.com/xrp-price-prediction-july-2026/)
2. 24/7 Wall St — [Will XRP Explode? The Rare RSI Signal That Preceded Every Major Rally Just Flashed Again](https://247wallst.com/investing/cryptocurrency/2026/06/09/will-xrp-explode-the-rare-rsi-signal-that-preceded-every-major-rally-just-flashed-again/)

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Cite as: TrendWatcher, "XRP slides to $1.15 as monthly RSI hits historic low", https://www.trendwatcher.in/article/7dad8ff8-4e6f-4ce9-abb3-588593adf7b9