# XRP falls to $1.38 as Ripple’s 2025 impact report shows mixed outlook

**Published:** 2026-06-26T17:40:50.954Z  
**Topic:** Ripple Xrp  
**Sentiment:** neutral  
**Publisher:** TrendWatcher — https://www.trendwatcher.in/article/01a1487f-6bde-4588-99b9-37d20ba27240

XRP trades at $1.38, down over 60% from its $3.65 July 2025 peak. Ripple’s latest impact report highlights rising transaction volume, institutional interest

XRP is now priced at $1.38, a 60% drop from its July 2025 high of $3.65, despite Ripple’s recent legal win, new ETF approvals and a surge in on‑chain activity [1].

| At a glance | |
|---|---|
| Price | $1.38 |
| 24‑hour change | –0.4% (approx.) |
| Key level | $1.50 resistance repeatedly broken |
| Catalyst | Post‑SEC‑victory sell‑off, stablecoin competition, institutional inflows |

## Price pressure and the failed breakout  
The token has failed to stay above $1.50 on four separate attempts since falling below that mark earlier this year, each rejection followed by a sharp pullback and a textbook double‑top at $1.51 [1]. Open interest in XRP derivatives rose from $798 million to $940 million as $142 million of fresh long positions entered the market, yet bearish RSI divergence and a 41% drop in long‑holder buying signaled weakening momentum [1]. Standard Chartered cut its 2026 price target from $8 to $2.80, citing broader macro headwinds rather than any fundamental change in Ripple’s outlook [1].

## Growing infrastructure versus stagnant usage  
On‑chain volume tells a different story. Daily transactions on the XRP Ledger hit 3 million on 15 March 2026—a threefold increase over mid‑2025 levels—driven by automated market‑maker pools, tokenized assets and RLUSD settlement flows [1]. Real‑world asset tokenization on the ledger now exceeds $474 million, with total represented value approaching $1.5 billion [1]. Institutional interest is evident: JPMorgan forecasts $4‑$8.4 billion of XRP ETF inflows in the first year, and CME Group launched regulated XRP futures in May 2025 [1]. Despite these developments, transaction volume has remained relatively static, suggesting businesses prefer stablecoins over XRP’s volatile token for cross‑border bridges [1].

## Tokenomics and supply concerns  
Ripple controls roughly 41.6 billion of the 100 billion XRP supply, releasing tokens gradually from escrow [1]. This centralized supply structure draws criticism and gives Ripple the ability to influence market liquidity directly. Monthly token releases continue to add supply pressure, a factor that institutional investors monitor closely [1].

## What to watch  
- **$1.50 resistance** – a clean close above could signal a renewed upside.  
- **Monthly escrow releases** – track the volume of newly unlocked XRP each month.  
- **ETF and futures milestones** – JPMorgan’s ETF inflow estimates and CME futures trading volumes could reshape demand.  

XRP’s price lagging behind its expanding payment infrastructure highlights a disconnect between on‑chain growth and market sentiment. Whether the token can translate Ripple’s institutional partnerships into sustained buying pressure remains the key question for its long‑term trajectory.

## Sources
1. 24/7 Wall St — [Is XRP (Ripple) Still a Good Long-Term Investment After the 2026 Drawdown?](https://247wallst.com/investing/2026/05/19/is-xrp-ripple-still-a-good-long-term-investment-after-the-2026-drawdown/)
2. AOL — [What Will Ripple (XRP) Be Worth By 2027?](https://www.aol.com/articles/ripple-xrp-worth-2027-140128000.html)

---
Cite as: TrendWatcher, "XRP falls to $1.38 as Ripple’s 2025 impact report shows mixed outlook", https://www.trendwatcher.in/article/01a1487f-6bde-4588-99b9-37d20ba27240