XRP holds $1 support while XLM tests $0.173 level amid mixed

XRP closed above its 50‑day EMA at $1.42 on Tuesday, keeping the token just above the psychological $1 support, while Stellar (XLM) lingered near $0.173, its recent 50‑day EMA support, as contrasting funding‑rate data left both assets at a technical crossroads.

Price action and technical backdrop

XRP’s price rose to $1.42 after breaking the 50‑day EMA at $1.41, yet it remains below the 100‑day EMA ($1.54) and the longer‑term 200‑day EMA ($1.78), keeping the token in a descending channel (source [1]). The daily RSI sits around 55, and MACD is mildly positive, indicating modest momentum but not enough to reverse the higher‑timeframe downtrend. Immediate resistance lies at the 100‑day EMA ($1.54) and the upper channel edge near $1.65, while a break below the 50‑day EMA would expose the $1.30 floor and, further down, the $0.83 channel boundary.

Stellar traded at $0.175, just above its 50‑day EMA ($0.165) and the broken descending trendline now acting as secondary support near $0.153 (source [1]). RSI hovers at 59, close to overbought, and MACD stays above zero, suggesting buyers still control the market. Resistance is set at the 100‑day EMA ($0.179) and the 23.6 % Fibonacci retracement ($0.201), with the 200‑day EMA ($0.215) marking a medium‑term hurdle. On the downside, the nearest support is the day’s open around $0.173, followed by the 50‑day EMA and deeper levels near $0.136 if selling accelerates.

Derivatives and on‑chain signals

Funding‑rate data show a split sentiment: XRP’s OI‑Weighted funding turned positive last week and stayed at 0.0003 % on Tuesday, indicating longs are paying shorts (source [1]). Conversely, XLM’s funding flipped negative on Wednesday to –0.0024 %, meaning shorts are paying longs and reflecting bearish bias (source [2]). The long‑to‑short ratio mirrors this divide, with XRP at 1.02 (bullish) and XLM at 0.84, near a one‑month low (source [2]). Spot‑market data note large whale orders for both tokens, but overall metrics are neutral, hinting at potential upside for XRP and a bullish outlook for XLM despite the mixed derivative picture (source [1]).

What to watch

• XRP: Watch the $1.00 psychological support; a break could trigger a slide toward $0.83, while a rally above $1.54 would test the 100‑day EMA.
• XLM: Monitor the $0.173 level; a breach may open the path to the $0.142 floor, whereas a hold above $0.179 could set up a move toward $0.201.
• Derivatives: Funding‑rate shifts for both tokens—especially any reversal to negative for XRP or back to positive for XLM—could signal changing trader bias.

The juxtaposition of stable price levels with divergent funding‑rate signals underscores a fragile equilibrium: XRP’s resilience above $1 hinges on maintaining bullish funding, while XLM’s near‑term trajectory depends on breaking through its current support zone. The next price moves will likely be dictated by whether derivative sentiment aligns with on‑chain whale activity.